000
WTNT31 KWNH 181503
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMELDA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD   AL112019
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM CDT WED SEP 18 2019

...IMELDA MOVING SLOWLY NORTH...
...HEAVY RAINS AND SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING SPREADING
INLAND OVER EASTERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.6N 95.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM E OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMELDA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  IMELDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY:

ACROSS THE UPPER TEXAS COAST INTO EASTERN TEXAS,
INCLUDING THE HOUSTON AND GALVESTON AREAS...ADDITIONAL
5 TO 10 INCHES.  ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES.

ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.

THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER CARBIN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/1500Z 30.6N  95.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  19/0000Z 31.2N  95.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  19/1200Z 31.8N  95.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  20/0000Z 31.7N  95.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
 48H  20/1200Z 31.5N  96.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

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