000
FXUS61 KBOX 090849
AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
449 AM EDT WED OCT 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A SIGNIFICANT OCEAN STORM WILL BRING A LONG DURATION HEAVY 
RAINFALL EVENT AND DAMAGING WINDS TO SE NEW ENGLAND INTO FRIDAY
WITH SIGNIFICANT MARINE IMPACTS. THE PEAK OF THE STORM WILL BE
LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. IMPROVING WEATHER OVER THIS 
WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL WET WEATHER SYSTEM FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
OCEAN STORM DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD THE BENCHMARK TODAY. WITH
STRONG HIGH PRES TO THE NORTH, STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
LEAD TO A ROBUST EASTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WHICH GRADUALLY LIFTS 
NORTH TODAY. RESULT WILL BE INCREASING NE WINDS ALONG THE COAST
AS WELL RAIN OVERSPREADING MUCH OF SNE. 

NORTHERN EDGE OF LIGHT RAIN SHIELD HAS REACHED THE SOUTH COAST 
EARLY THIS MORNING. HI-RES GUIDANCE HANDLING THIS RAINFALL 
FAIRLY WELL AND INDICATES RAIN WILL SPREAD INLAND THROUGH THE 
DAY. STEADIEST RAINFALL WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS E/SE NEW ENG BUT
OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED TO REACH INTERIOR NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN MA THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE LIGHT BUT
BANDS OF HEAVIER RAIN MAY BEGIN TO IMPACT SE NEW ENG THIS
AFTERNOON. 

INCREASING NE WINDS TODAY, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST WHERE
GUSTS 25-35 MPH, BUT 35-45 MPH GUSTS DEVELOPING OVER THE 
CAPE/ISLANDS BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...

*** HIGH IMPACT OCEAN STORM TONIGHT/THU BUT PERSISTING THROUGH
 THE END OF THE WEEK 

*** HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FOR SE
 NEW ENG WITH SIGNIFICANT MARINE IMPACT 

OVERVIEW...

ANOMALOUS OCEAN STORM WILL GET DRAWN BACK TO NEAR THE BENCHMARK
AS IT BECOMES CAPTURED BY MID LEVEL LOW. RESULT WILL BE A QUASI-
STATIONARY STORM MEANDERING NEAR THE BENCHMARK. STRONG HIGH PRES
TO THE NORTH RESULTS IN A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL JET WHICH 
REACHES +5SD ABOVE NORMAL. ANOMALIES THIS STRONG ARE UNUSUAL 
AND IS A STRONG SIGNAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT LONG DURATION RAIN AND
WIND EVENT FOR SE NEW ENG. 

RAINFALL...

THE STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WITH A LONG FETCH WILL LEAD TO A 
FIREHOSE OF MOISTURE INFLOW DIRECTED TOWARD SE NEW ENG. MOST OF 
THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON POTENTIAL FOR 3-6 
INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS SE MA WITH MAX AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES. ECMWF HAS LESS RAINFALL BUT IS AN OUTLIER AND EPS 
ENSEMBLE HAS HIGH PROBS FOR TOTAL RAINFALL OVER 4 INCHES SO WE 
ARE LEANING TOWARD CONSENSUS OF HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS. THIS IS 
ALSO SUPPORTED BY HI-RES GUIDANCE WITH MULTIPLE MEMBERS SHOWING 
OVER 5 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH THU. HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED 
TONIGHT INTO THU AND WILL COME IN THE FORM OF HEAVY BANDS OF 
RAIN ROTATING IN FROM THE OCEAN. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR 
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS LIKELY. FLOOD WATCHES WERE ISSUED FOR SE MA
AND CAPE/ISLANDS.

WIND...

AS MENTIONED EARLIER, THIS IS A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL JET 
+5SD WHICH WILL LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT LONG DURATION WIND EVENT 
FOR SE NEW ENG. COOL TEMPS IN THE LOW LEVELS OVER WARM SST WILL 
ENSURE DECENT MIXING. EXPECT 30-40 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS WITH 
GUSTS TO 60 MPH OVER THE CAPE/ISLANDS WITH A LOWER RISK FOR 70 
MPH GUSTS PER THE GFS SOUNDINGS. STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE LATE 
TONIGHT INTO THU NIGHT. UPGRADED HIGH WIND WATCHES TO WARNINGS 
AND ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR COASTAL PLYMOUTH COUNTY FOR GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. REST OF THE COASTLINE WILL EXPERIENCE 35-45 MPH 
GUSTS AT THE PEAK. 

COASTAL FLOODING...

NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS FOR THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING AS
WINDS AND SEAS WILL NOT HAVE BUILT UP ENOUGH. HOWEVER, THERE IS
SOME CONCERN FOR MINOR FLOODING FOR ACK DURING THE THU MORNING
HIGH TIDE. DESPITE LOW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES, THE STRONG WINDS WILL
PRODUCE A SURGE UP TO 2 FT WITH LARGE WAVES. AS A RESULT WE
ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR ACK FOR THU MORNING. COASTAL
FLOOD WATCHES CONTINUE FOR THE LATER TIDE CYCLES. SEE BELOW. 

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

*/ HIGHLIGHTS...

 - SIGNIFICANT, DANGEROUS, OFFSHORE OCEAN STORM SYSTEM
 - STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS, SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE, POWER OUTAGES
 - MINOR, POSSIBLY MODERATE, COASTAL FLOODING
 - PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN INTERIOR FLOODING
 - MARINE HAZARDS WITH DANGEROUS WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS

*/ OVERVIEW... 

STRONG WOBBLING OFFSHORE OCEAN STORM. BETTER AGREEMENT PER ENSEMBLE 
MODEL SENSITIVITY COURTESY SUNY STONY BROOK. CONTINUED TIES BACK TO 
THE DEVELOPING N PLAINS CYCLONE THAT SITUATES A REX-BLOCK ACROSS NE 
N AMERICA, THE PROXIMITY OF WHICH WITH ATTENDANT HEIGHT FALLS/RISES 
ACROSS E N AMERICA SUBSEQUENTLY POSITION THE STACKING LOW OFF OUR 
SHORELINE. A CONSENSUS BLEND OF FORECAST GUIDANCE IS PREFERRED, BUT 
WITH WINDS INCORPORATING A BLEND OF THE MAXIMUM OF ALL GUIDANCE. A 
NOD TO ENSEMBLE PROBABILISTICS (NAMELY RAINFALL AND WINDS). IMPACTS 
FOCUSED THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, DIMINISHING OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE 
OCCLUDING, STACKING STORM CHOKES OFF AND IS KICKED OUT TO SEA BY THE 
AFOREMENTIONED N-PLAINS CYCLONE. 

SIGNIFICANT AND DANGEROUS. THE NAEFS CLIMATOLOGICAL PERCENTILES PER 
CLIMATE FORECAST SYSTEM REANALYSIS (CFSR) VERSUS THE LATEST ENSEMBLE 
SUITE HIGHLIGHTING RECORD EASTERLY WINDS SUCH THAT IT HAS NEVER BEEN 
OBSERVED IN THE PERIOD OF RECORD BEGINNING JANUARY 1ST, 1979. CIPS 
ANALOGS SUBSEQUENTLY AREN'T ENTIRELY HELPFUL AS WELL WITH THE TOP 
ANALOG WITH A 10.5 SCORE OUT OF 15 SIGNALING POOR CORRELATION. 

WE NEED TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED. AN EASTERLY WIND ANOMALY OF 4 TO 6 
STANDARD DEVIATIONS RIGHT INTO S NEW ENGLAND ESPECIALLY AT H925. THE 
WARM OCEAN WATERS, FULLY-LEAFED TREES, BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED TO H9, A 
STRONG SIGNAL ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST OF STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS 
THAT'LL LEAD TO SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. MEANWHILE 
DESPITE LOW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES THE PROLONGED WIND STRESS OVER THE 
WATERS WILL LEAD TO STORM SURGE PLUS BUILDING WAVE HEIGHTS DURING 
SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THUS MINOR AND PERHAPS MODERATE COASTAL 
FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED. CYCLONIC WRAPPING DEEP-LAYER, SUB-TROPICAL 
MOTION ROUND THE OCEAN STORM SLAMMING INTO S NEW ENGLAND, UPSLOPING, 
THERE'S STRONG CONFIDENCE OF HEAVY RAIN THAT DURING HIGH TIDE CYCLES 
IS LIKELY TO LEAD TO INLAND FLOODING ASIDE FROM THOSE VULNERABLE 
URBAN / POOR-DRAINAGE AREAS. DEFINITELY MARINE HAZARDS, DANGEROUS 
BOATING CONDITIONS, AS STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST. 

PLAN ACCORDINGLY. ESPECIALLY COASTLINE COMMUNITIES, THERE COULD BE A 
NUMBER OF DAYS WITHOUT POWER GIVEN ANTICIPATED WINDS IN ADDITION TO 
COASTAL FLOODING. THOSE WITH COASTAL INTEREST SHOULD ADDRESS ANY AND 
ALL VULNERABILITIES, PROTECTING LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE PROCESS. 

DON'T GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD. AN EARLY-SEASON STORM. BE AWARE OF THE 
THREATS AND HAZARDS AND MAKE PREPARATIONS AS NECESSARY. HAVE A PLAN 
IN MIND IF THE WORST WERE TO OCCUR. 

*/ DETAILS...

METEOROLOGY. BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT (0Z FRIDAY) THE OCEAN STORM 
SHOULD BEGIN TO UNDERGO OCCLUSION, CHOKING ITSELF OUT. INITIALLY 
WILL STILL SEE PRONOUNCED FRONTOGENETICAL BANDING / DEFORMATION TO 
THE N/NW QUADRANT OF THE STORM AGAINST THE 1030+ HIGH N. TROWALING 
OF SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE WITHIN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS AS H925 WINDS 
ARE AROUND 60 KTS (70 MPH) OVER THE S/SE COAST AND ADJACENT WATERS. 
BUT THE SYSTEM STACKING, DRY AIR ENTRAINING, ANTICIPATE A TOP-DOWN 
TREND OF DIMINISHING SUPPORTING SYNOPTICS, ONLY SURFACE TO LOW-LEVEL 
INFLUENCES LINGERING, UPSLOPING WHATEVER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS 
UNTIL THE STORM LIFTS OUT, KICKED E BY THE N-PLAINS CYCLONE INTO THE 
WEEKEND.

INITIALLY, AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH SUSTAINED E/NE WINDS ALONG THE COAST 
WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 TO 55 MPH. LESSER VALUES ACROSS THE INTERIOR. 
LASHING RAINS, AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES, HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS E 
MA. GOT TO WATCH THE E-W GRADIENT UP AGAINST THE HIGH. WHILE THE EC 
HAS DOWNTRENDED ON QPF THE OTHER THING TO NOTE IS WITHIN THE RH 
FIELDS WITHIN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS. REX-BLOCK PATTERNS TRICKY, THE 
1030+ HIGH SQUEEZED AGAINST FROM THE N, YOU CAN SEE THE 
DEFINITIVE GRADIENT IN ALL THE QPF GUIDANCE WHICH CAN EASILY 
SHIFT N OR S RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN OUTCOMES. BOTH 
WINDS AND RAINFALL INTENSITY DIMINISHING FRIDAY ON INTO 
SATURDAY. 

PER STEVENS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY FLOOD ADVISORY SYSTEM, SIGNALING 
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH THE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING 
HIGH TIDES WITH POTENTIAL MODERATE. DEPENDING ON SURGE AND WAVE 
VALUES, SPECIFICALLY IF NANTUCKET WERE TO SEE A 2.0 - 2.5 FOOT SURGE 
YIELDING A TOTAL WATER LEVEL OF AROUND 5.5 FEET WITH 8 TO 10 FOOT 
WAVES THEN THERE'S CONCERN FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. AT BOSTON 
WITH A 2.5 - 3.0 SURGE AND 20 FOOT WAVES, IT TOO WOULD EXPERIENCE 
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING, MORE LIKELY FRIDAY. THIS PLUS LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL, WATER BEING PUSHED UP BY THE PERSISTENT E WINDS, NOT 
ONLY IS THERE CONCERN OVER COASTAL FLOODING BUT ALSO POOR DRAINAGE 
FLOODING. MORE DETAILS IN THE TIDES / COASTAL FLOODING SECTION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW - LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. 
MODERATE - 30 TO 60 PERCENT. 
HIGH - GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...

THROUGH 12Z...VFR CIGS, LOWERING TO MVFR OVER THE ISLANDS.
NORTHERN EDGE OF LIGHT RAIN LIFTING NORTH FROM THE ISLANDS AND 
REACHING SOUTH COAST 10-12Z. 

TODAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
LOWERING CIGS TO MVFR/IFR SPREADING NORTH ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAIN AS RAIN GRADUALLY LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE DAY. LOWEST CIGS
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS RI AND SE MA WITH VFR CIGS PERSISTING OVER
WESTERN MA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IN THE COASTAL PLAIN TO THE 
SOUTH COAST WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN REACHING NORTHERN AND 
WESTERN MA THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING NE WINDS WITH GUSTS 25-30
KT ALONG THE COAST AND UP TO 35 KT OVER THE ISLANDS. 

TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WITH BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS
RI AND EASTERN MA WITH LIGHTER RAIN BACK OVER THE INTERIOR. NE
GUSTS 25-35 KT ACROSS RI AND EASTERN MA, WITH 40-50 KT GUSTS
DEVELOPING OVER CAPE/ISLANDS.

KBOS TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THURSDAY NIGHT: MAINLY MVFR, WITH LOCAL IFR POSSIBLE. STRONG
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. RA.

FRIDAY: MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WITH AREAS
OF GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. RA.

FRIDAY NIGHT: MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. WINDY WITH GUSTS UP
TO 35 KT. RA LIKELY.

SATURDAY: MAINLY VFR, WITH AREAS IFR POSSIBLE. BREEZY. CHANCE
RA.

SATURDAY NIGHT: MAINLY VFR, WITH LOCAL IFR POSSIBLE. BREEZY.
SLIGHT CHANCE RA.

SUNDAY: VFR. 

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW - LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. 
MODERATE - 30 TO 60 PERCENT. 
HIGH - GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

SIGNIFICANT MARINE IMPACT WITH DANGEROUS WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS 
FOR MARINERS. WE UPGRADED TO STORM WARNINGS FOR SOUTHERN WATERS FOR 
GUSTS 50-55 KT. GALE WARNINGS ELSEWHERE FOR GUSTS 35-45 KT. 
SEAS OVER OUTER WATERS EAST OF CAPE COD WILL BUILD UP TO 25 FT
ON THU. 

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

THURSDAY NIGHT: LOW RISK FOR STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 24 FT. RAIN. 

FRIDAY: MODERATE RISK FOR GALE FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
40 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 20 FT. RAIN. 

FRIDAY NIGHT: LOW RISK FOR GALE FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
40 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 17 FT. RAIN LIKELY. 

SATURDAY: MODERATE RISK FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 14 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN. 

SATURDAY NIGHT: WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. ROUGH SEAS UP TO 11 FT.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. 

SUNDAY: WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. AREAS OF ROUGH SEAS. 

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
STRONG OCEAN STORM COMBINED WITH A 1030+ MB HIGH OVER THE 
MARITIMES WILL GENERATE A VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET (925 MB) 
TRACKING VERY CLOSE OR JUST OFFSHORE TO CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS
THU AND FRI. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO ONSHORE NE GALES AND STORMS AT
THE SURFACE OCCURRING OVER MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES (THU AND FRI). 
IN ADDITION THIS STRONG WIND FIELD WILL BE ACTING ON A VERY LONG
FETCH ACROSS GEORGES BANK INTO THE EASTERN MA WATERS. THIS WILL
GENERATE VERY LARGE LONG PERIOD WAVES THAT TYPICAL VERIFY 
HIGHER THAN MODEL GUIDANCE. 

LATEST SWAN GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST UP TO 25 FT SEAS JUST
OFFSHORE OF CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET THURSDAY EVENING. FORTUNATELY
ASTRO TIDES ARE LOW THROUGHOUT THE EVENT, ABOUT 9.5 FEET FOR 
BOSTON (FLOODING BEGINS AROUND 12.3 FT) AND ABOUT 3.2 FT AT 
NANTUCKET (FLOODING BEGINS AROUND 5 FT).

THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE IS THE FIRST TIDE CYCLE OF CONCERN. 
THE ETSS AND ESTOFS SURGE MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERATE 1-2FT 
STORM SURGE THU EVENING. HOWEVER LOOKING AT THE STEVENS 
INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY SURGE ENSEMBLES, THERE ARE MULTIPLE 
MEMBERS SHOWING A STORM TIDE OF OVER 12 FT AT BOSTON AND OVER 5 
FT AT NANTUCKET! THIS IS CONCERNING GIVEN RECENT UPWARD TRENDS 
AND DURATION OF EVENT WITH EACH TIDE CYCLE NOT COMPLETELY 
DRAINING SEAWARD GIVEN ONSHORE GALES. THEREFORE WILL FOLLOW A 
BLEND HERE GIVEN THE TIME RANGE IS STILL 48 HRS OUT. 

THUS GIVEN SOME OF THE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS WATER LEVELS APPROACHING 
FLOOD STAGE COMBINED WITH LARGE WAVE ACTION ONTOP OF THE SURGE THERE 
IS 30-60% CHANCE OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT 
EROSION. THANKFULLY LOW ASTRO TIDES WILL PRECLUDE THIS STORM FROM 
BEING A MAJOR EVENT. NEVERTHELESS ENOUGH POTENTIAL IMPACT HERE TO 
JUSTIFY A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR NANTUCKET, CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH 
COUNTY FOR THE RISK OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. WILL 
HOLD OFF ON A WATCH FOR BOSTON TO THE MA/NH BORDER GIVEN UNCERTAINTY 
ON NORTHWARD EXTENT OF LOW LEVEL JET. LATER SHIFTS CAN REASSESS 
MODEL TRENDS. FOR NOW WILL FOCUS THE WATCH IN THE AREA OF GREATEST 
RISK/HIGHEST PROBABILITY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR 
     MAZ022>024.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR 
     MAZ017>024.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR MAZ019.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE 
     THURSDAY NIGHT FOR MAZ019-022>024.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO NOON EDT THURSDAY FOR 
     MAZ024.
RI...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR 
     RIZ008.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ232-
     254>256.
     GALE WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR 
     ANZ233-234.
     GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ230-
     236.
     GALE WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR 
     ANZ231-250-251.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ235-
     237.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...KJC/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...SIPPRELL
AVIATION...KJC/SIPPRELL
MARINE...KJC/SIPPRELL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

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