000
AXUS71 KCAR 270145
DGTCAR
MEC003-009-019-021-029-040145-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
945 PM EDT SAT SEP 26 2020

SYNOPSIS...
DROUGHT CATEGORIES HAVE EXPANDED AND DETERIORATED DURING PAST
WEEK IN PARTS OF HANCOCK, PISCATAQUIS, AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.
AN AREA OF EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) REMAINS ACROSS A PORTION OF 
CENTRAL AROOSTOOK COUNTY AND A SMALL PORTION OF EXTREME NORTHERN 
PENOBSCOT COUNTY. THIS WAS A DIRECT RESULT OF CONTINUED VERY DRY 
WEATHER DURING THE FIRST HALF OF SEPTEMBER. 

SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) NOW INCLUDES NEARLY ALL OF EASTERN AND 
NORTHERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY AND WAS EXPANDED WEST TO NEAR FORT KENT.
SEVERE DROUGHT ALSO INCLUDES MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
PENOBSCOT COUNTY, FAR NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY, AND MUCH OF 
PISCATAQUIS COUNTY AS WELL AS SOUTHERN HANCOCK COUNTY.

PRECIPITATION DURING THE PAST 60 TO 90 DAYS HAS BEEN WELL BELOW 
AVERAGE AND HAS RANGED FROM 40 TO 75 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE VERY 
DRY CONDITIONS HAVING CONTINUED FOR SEVERAL MONTHS. RAINFALL 
SINCE JUNE 1ST RANKS AS THE DRIEST ON RECORD IN CARIBOU AND 
HOULTON. ONLY 0.05" OF RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED (SEP 1-26) IN BANGOR
AND 0.11" IN CARIBOU, WHICH IS THE DRIEST SUCH PERIOD ON RECORD AT
BOTH LOCATIONS. THE ONLY AREA TO RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
RECENTLY WAS ACROSS EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY WHERE A FEW SPOTS 
OBSERVED 1.5 INCHES OR MORE OF RAIN FROM HURRICANE TEDDY.


THE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT IS DUE TO LOW SOIL MOISTURE, LACK 
OF WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, LOW STREAM FLOWS, AND DRYING 
VEGETATION. 

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
VERY LOW STREAM FLOWS ACROSS THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO
GRAIN CROPS REPORTED. POTATO AND OTHER CROPS IN THE AREA NEEDED 
EXTENSIVE IRRIGATION, ALTHOUGH MOST CROPS ARE NOW BEING REMOVED
FROM THE GROUND. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF NEGATIVE IMPACTS ON 
THE POTATO, BLUEBERRY, AND APPLE CROPS DUE TO THE DROUGHT 
CONDITIONS. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF DUG WELLS RUNNING DRY IN 
PARTS OF SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY. MANY OF THE LARGER RIVERS ARE
AT RECORD LOW FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN WELL BELOW AVERAGE DURING THE PAST 60 TO
90 DAYS AND IS ONLY 40 TO 75 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION 
SINCE MAY 1ST, WITH THE GREATEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ACROSS THE
EASTERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW CHANCES OF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE AVERAGE 
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
AVERAGE SEVEN DAY STREAM FLOW HAS BEEN WELL BELOW NORMAL AND IS
CURRENTLY RUNNING AT ONLY 10 TO 40 PERCENT OF NORMAL. STREAM FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO RUN WELL BELOW AVERAGE DURING THE NEXT ONE TO TWO 
WEEKS, BUT POTENTIALLY COULD SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT IF HEAVIER
RAINFALL MATERIALIZES.  

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OCTOBER 6TH OR SOONER IF 
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...

US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
INFORMATION...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
810 MAIN ST
CARIBOU ME 04736
PHONE...207-492-0180
CARWEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

CB

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