000
AXUS71 KCAR 152243 AAA
DGTCAR
MEC003-009-019-021-029-222245-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
643 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2020

SYNOPSIS...
A RECENT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON OCTOBER 13TH INTO EARLY 
ON OCTOBER PRODUCED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR
4 INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT 
THIS IS NOT REFLECTED IN THIS UPDATE AS THE CUTOFF TIME FOR THE 
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT WITH THE RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, 
AND FORECASTED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATE IN THE WEEK THAT DROUGHT 
CATEGORIES WILL CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY WHEN THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR IS UPDATED ON OCTOBER 22ND. 

DROUGHT CATEGORIES HAVE CHANGED ONLY MODESTLY DURING THE PAST
WEEK. THERE WAS AN AREA OF SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT FROM (D2) SEVERE
DROUGHT TO (D1) MODERATE DROUGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
AROOSTOOK COUNTY, SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY, AND CENTRAL
PENOBSCOT COUNTY. EXTREME DROUGHT REMAINS ACROSS A SMALL PORTION 
OF FAR WESTERN PISCATQUIS COUNTY WITH EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUING 
ACROSS A PORTION OF CENTRAL AROOSTOOK COUNTY AND A VERY SMALL 
PORTION OF EXTREME NORTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY. ELSEWHERE, SEVERE 
DROUGHT (D2) COVERS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN
MAINE, EXCEPT IN THE ABOVE REFERENCED AREAS THAT SAW SOME MODEST 
IMPROVEMENT. 

PRECIPITATION DURING THE PAST 30 DAYS HAS BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE
ACROSS THE REGION RANGING FROM 50 TO 130 PERCENT OF NORMAL FROM 
THE KATAHDIN REGION AND GENERALLY FROM 25 TO 75 PERCENT OF NORMAL
SOUTH OF THE KATAHDIN REGION. DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS
PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN WELL BELOW AVERAGE AND HAS RANGED FROM 50 TO 90 PERCENT 
OF NORMAL WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURES ACROSS EASTERN 
AROOSTOOK COUNTY.

THE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT IS DUE TO LOW SOIL MOISTURE, LACK 
OF WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, LOW STREAM FLOWS, AND DRYING 
VEGETATION. 

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
RECORD LOW STREAM AND RIVER FLOWS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE 
AREA FOR SEVERAL MONTHS, ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT 
IMPROVEMENT DURING THE PAST 7 DAYS DUE TO RECENT RAIN OF 1.5 TO
3 
INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3.5 TO 4 INCHES THAT OCCURRED ON 
OCTOBER 13TH- 14TH.

THE CORN CROP HAS DONE WELL DESPITE THE DRY CONDITIONS, HOWEVER, 
ALMOST ALL OTHER CROPS HAVE SUFFERED. THE GRAIN CROP IS LIGHT, 
AND THE HAY CROP IS ONLY ABOUT HALF OF NORMAL. THE POTATO CROP
WAS BELOW AVERAGE, ALTHOUGH THE QUALITY OF THE CROP APPEARS IN 
MOST AREAS TO BE GOOD. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF NEGATIVE
IMPACTS
ON THE BLUEBERRY AND APPLE CROPS DUE TO THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. 
THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF DUG WELLS RUNNING DRY IN PARTS OF 
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY. 

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN WELL BELOW AVERAGE DURING THE PAST 60 TO
90 DAYS AND IS ONLY 50 TO 75 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION 
SINCE MAY 1ST, WITH THE GREATEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ACROSS
THE
EASTERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THE
NEXT 7 DAYS. ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED FRIDAY 
INTO SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES 
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. 

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...AVERAGE SEVEN DAY STREAM FLOW 
HAS IMPROVED TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MANY AREAS IN FAR NORTHERN 
MAINE, BUT IS STILL BELOW AVERAGE TO MUCH BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS 
MOST OF THE AREA SOUTH OF THE KATAHDIN REGION. THERE HAS BEEN 
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN SOME SPOTS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR 
NORTH IN RESPONSE TO RECENT RAIN. STREAM FLOW IS EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE TO IMPROVE DURING THE NEXT WEEK DUE TO EXPECTED RAINFALL
AT THE END OF THE WEEK. RIVER LEVELS HAVE IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY 
DURING THE PAST WEEK AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE RISES INTO 
EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE EXPECTED RAINFALL.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OCTOBER 22ND OR SOONER IF 
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...

US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
INFORMATION...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
810 MAIN ST
CARIBOU ME 04736
PHONE...207-492-0180
CARWEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

  US Dept of Commerce
  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
  National Weather Service
  1325 East West Highway
  Silver Spring, MD 20910
  Page Author: NWSChat Administration Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy  
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)  
About Us  
Career Opportunities