131 
FXUS61 KGYX 152031
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
331 PM EST THU DEC 15 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC MOVES ALONG THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST TO BRING THE FIRST BIG WINTER STORM OF THE 
SEASON. WHILE TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AROUND FREEZING TONIGHT, 
PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL HARD ENOUGH TO RESULT IN MOSTLY SNOW 
ACROSS THE AREA. MIXING IS EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE ACROSS 
SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND COASTAL WESTERN MAINE. ACROSS THE
INTERIOR, SNOWFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS EXPECTED, WITH LIGHTER
AMOUNTS DUE TO MIXING ALONG THE COAST. THE STORM WILL LINGER AND 
CONTINUE TO BRING PERIODS OF SNOW TO PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS 
QUIETER WEATHER FOR MOST OF THE WORKWEEK, AND THEN ANOTHER 
COASTAL STORM IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: SNOW OVERSPREADS INTERIOR NEW 
HAMPSHIRE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH SLICK TRAVEL DEVELOPING BY DAYBREAK.  

PATTERN:  OCCLUDED AND VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS CENTERED OVER 
MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT ARCING SOUTH AND 
EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...AND THE SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE MID 
ATLANTIC WITH A PRESSURE WEAKNESS OVER EASTERN VA/NC INDICATING THE 
BEGINNING OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL BRING THE FIRST WIDESPREAD 
WINTER STORM TO OUR REGION BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.  PRECIPITATION 
BAND IN THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME AND ALONG THE MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY 
JET AT H8 IS SLOWLY ADVANCING NORTH AND EAST WITH THE HIGH OVER LOW 
BLOCKING PATTERN DOWNSTREAM OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SLOWLY 
PUSHING EAST.  PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE ON THE ARRIVAL OF 
THIS PRECIPITATION SHIELD AND WHAT PTYPE IT WILL TAKE WHEN IT 
ARRIVES.  

THROUGH THIS EVENING: STRATOCU HAS ENVELOPED MOST OF THE FORECAST 
AREA WITH TOP DOWN SATURATION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE 
OVERALL CLOUD COVER. IT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY MILD THROUGH 7PM WITH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH MID TO EVEN UPPER 
30S COMMON TO THE SOUTH. 

TONIGHT: +DPVA ARRIVES OVERNIGHT WITH TOP DOWN SATURATION
ALLOWING UPSTREAM BAND OF PRECIPITATION TO ARRIVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. MOIST EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY
ALLOW FOR A FEW RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE MAIN BAND WHICH 
IS JUST AN EXPANSION OF WHAT IS ALREADY HAPPENING OVER THE GULF 
OF MAINE. SE NH SHOULD BEGIN AS RAIN WITH SNOW FROM EEN TO CON 
AND NORTH WITH AN INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. 
FURTHER EAST ACROSS WESTERN MAINE...PRECIPITATION OF ANY 
SIGNIFICANCE WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER DAYBREAK. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

...SIGNIFICANT AND PROLONGED WINTER STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT 
SNOW FOR MANY LOCATIONS..

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: 
*  HEAVY SNOW FOR ALL BUT FAR SE NH AND THE COAST OF ME FROM 
   PORTLAND SOUTH.  INLAND...TOTALS WELL OVER ONE FOOT ARE 
   POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY FOR LOCATIONS AT ELEVATION.  
*  SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AND WET JUST INLAND FROM THE CHANGEOVER LINE 
   WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR POWER OUTAGES. 
*  WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE SOMEWHAT
   WARMER AIR FROM PORTLAND SOUTH TO SEACOAST NH.

PATTERN: SURFACE LOW TRACK HAS TRENDED FURTHER NORTH OVER THE 
PAST 24 HOURS BUT ALSO A BIT DEEPER...WHICH HELPS HOLD THE COLD 
AIR IN NORTH OF IT/S EVENTUAL TRACK. CONSENSUS TRACK MOVES FROM 
THE SE JERSEY COAST AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN MA FRIDAY NIGHT WHILE SLOWLY DEEPENING...WITH THE 
LOW HESITATING FOR A TIME EAST OF CAPE ANN BEFORE PUSHING EAST 
TOWARDS THE NOVA SCOTIA. H7 LOW TRACKS FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
ENE INTO NOVA SCOTIA. 

MODEL PREFERENCES:  THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL SURFACE 
LOW EVOLUTION BUT HAVE FOLLOWED THE EC/NAM3KM/HRRR TRACK MORE 
CLOSELY.  LOOKING AT UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS...THE HRRR HAS BEEN TOO 
WARM WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE PRECIPITATION REGION AND HAVE TENDED 
TO FOLLOW MORE CLOSELY THE NAM 2M TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS WHICH HAS 
IT/S BIGGEST IMPLICATIONS FOR THE MAINE COAST...WHICH AS THE 
DEEPENING LOW ARRIVES FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING PRECIPITATION RATES 
AND ENE FLOW SHOULD BRING THE SNOW LINE RATHER CLOSE TO THE COAST. 

PTYPE EVOLUTION:  
* RAIN FROM ASH/MHT TO THE NH SECOAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A 
  POSSIBLE CHANGEOVER TOWARDS DAYBREAK SATURDAY. 
* FAVORING ALL SNOW NORTH OF A EEN-CON-GYX-LEW-AUG LINE.
* BETWEEN THIS LINE AND THE COAST...PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START 
  AS RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX...AND THEN TRANSITION TO MORE SNOW BY 
  FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON /AFTER SUNSET/ AS HEAVIER PRECIPITATION 
  RATES ARRIVE WITH SNOW CONTINUING FRIDAY NIGHT.  

QPF: WHAT THE EVENT LACKS IN STRONG DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW IT 
MAKES UP FOR IN LONGEVITY WITH THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION HESITATING 
AS THE H5 LOW CUTS OFF BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW THEN PULLS EAST.  THE 
RESULT IS AROUND 1" NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER WITH AMOUNTS INCREASING 
TO AROUND OR A BIT ABOVE 2" ALONG THE COAST NEAR WHERE ANY MESOSCALE 
BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW WILL PIVOT BEFORE PULLING 
EAST.  

SNOWFALL RATES:  WITHOUT A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW...SNOWFALL RATES 
GENERALLY LOOK TO BE MODERATE WITH HREF PROBS PRETTY MEAGER ON A 
SIGNAL FOR MUCH ABOVE 1"/HR...CENTERED ON LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND 
THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY NIGHT. LIGHT-MODERATE RATES WILL LIKELY BE 
IN PLACE TO BEGIN THE DAY SATURDAY...TAPERING OFF WITH TIME.
HONESTLY...THIS IS THE BIGGEST CONCERN FOR AREAS WITH MARGINAL
TEMPERATURES SEEING ENOUGH SNOW TO WARRANT WARNING-HEADLINES.  

WINDS: WHILE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY LATE FRIDAY AND 
FRIDAY NIGHT...BEST THREAT FOR WINDS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE COASTAL
YORK AND ROCKINGHAM WERE MIXED LAYER IS DEEPEST. CONFIDENCE NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE ADVISORIES HERE WITH THIS PACKAGE...AND 
WILL LET THE OVERNIGHT SHIFT HAVE ANOTHER LOOK. WINDS WHERE 
PRECIPITATION REMAINS MOSTLY SNOW WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW 30 
MPH PRECLUDING SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL WIND-RELATED IMPACTS. 

SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT: EXPECT ROBUST SNOWFALL TO BE ONGOING ACROSS 
MUCH OF THE AREA DAYBREAK SATURDAY WITH RATES STARTING TO DECREASE 
IN THE AFTERNOON.  DAYTIME SNOWFALL ON SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM AN 
INCH OR LESS OVER SOUTHERN NH TO AS MUCH AS 4-6 INCHES OVER THE 
WESTERN ME MOUNTAINS. 

HEADLINES: HAVE ISSUED A STRING OF ADVISORIES FOR MOST OF THE
COASTAL ZONES EXCEPT COASTAL YORK/ROCKINGHAM COUNTIES WHERE VERY
LITTLE SNOW IS EXPECTED. IN THE ADVISORY AREA. FOR THE ADVISORY
IN NH...AMOUNTS ARE A BIT ON THE LOW SIDE...BUT WITH SIGNIFICANT
VARIATION THROUGHOUT THE ZONES. FROM PORTLAND NORTH AND
EAST...CAN/T RULE OUT THESE ZONES EVENTUALLY NEEDING
WARNINGS...BUT PRECIPITATION RATES REMAIN A BIT QUESTIONABLE AND
DO NOT HAVE HIGH ENOUGH CONFIDENCE THAT WE/LL SEE 6" AMOUNTS IN
THIS AREA. FURTHER INLAND...8-14+ IS LOOKING LIKELY WITH AREAS
OVER 1000 FEET LIKELY TO PUSH THE HIGH END OF THIS ENVELOPE AND
OF COURSE SOME MOUNTAIN SPOTS EVEN HIGHER. BIGGEST IMPACT
CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE SEERN EDGE OF THE WARNING WHERE
SNOWFALL WILL BE HEAVY AND WET /RATIOS 5-8:1/ WHICH...AFTER
ACCUMULATING 4-5" WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO START TAKING DOWN TREE
LIMBS AND CAUSING POWER OUTAGES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERVIEW...

LIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS 
EASTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES AS THIS FIRST STORM SYSTEM ONLY 
GRADUALLY MOVES EASTWARD. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY MONDAY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS ACROSS THE CANADIAN 
MARITIMES, AND HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. 
WITH THIS FLOW PATTERN, SEASONABLE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED MOST OF 
THE WEEK. A WEAK DISTURBANCE BRINGS AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SNOW 
SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. BY LATE IN THE WEEK,
THERE IS INCREASING POTENTIAL THAT ANOTHER LARGE STORM SYSTEM 
COULD IMPACT NEW ENGLAND, WITH RAIN, SNOW, AND WIND POSSIBLE.

DETAILS...

THE CENTER OF THE LOW FROM THE UPCOMING STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR NOVA SCOTIA BY SUNDAY, BUT AN ELONGATED TROUGH AND AMPLE 
MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO KEEP LIGHT SNOW ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN 
AREAS AND THE MOUNTAINS. ACCUMULATIONS WOULD LIKELY BE LIGHT ON 
SUNDAY ITSELF, AND THEY WOULD ONLY BE ON TOP OF THE HIGHER 
TOTALS FORM THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. SOUTHERN AREAS MAY SEE 
A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY, BUT OTHERWISE MAINLY CLOUDY 
SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S ARE EXPECTED.

BY SUNDAY NIGHT THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE PULLING AWAY, WITH UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS GRADUALLY LESSENING IN COVERAGE INTO MONDAY. 
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY 
AND TUESDAY, BUT GENERALLY BRIGHTER CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. SCATTERED 
NORTHWESTERLY UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY. 
ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT 
AND WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AS A SHORTWAVE PASSES 
THROUGH THE AREA IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN.

DESPITE THE PERSISTENT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW, THE ONGOING BLOCKING
PATTERN ACROSS GREENLAND WILL CONTINUE TO FEED MILD MARITIME 
AIR INTO THE ARCTIC AIR MASSES AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO 
THE AREA, RESULTING IN AN AIRMASS WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
BY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT, THE RIDGE AXIS LIKELY MAKES ITS
CLOSEST PASS TO NEW ENGLAND AND OFFERS THE BEST CHANCE FOR 
COLDER NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES. WHILE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE ON 
THEIR OWN, THEY DO REPRESENT THE ANTECEDENT AIRMASS AHEAD OF 
THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO IMPACT THE AREA BY 
THE END OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE STILL ROUGHLY SEVEN DAYS AWAY, THERE
IS A HIGHER THAN USUAL LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
AFFECT NEW ENGLAND SOMETIME IN THE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY 
TIMEFRAME. THERE IS STRONG AGREEMENT AMONG THE GLOBAL MODELS ON
THIS, AND THERE HAS BEEN A RELATIVELY HIGH LEVEL OF RUN TO RUN 
CONSISTENCY WITH THE SYSTEM AS WELL. WHAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN, OF
COURSE, IS WHAT THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE. BOTH RAIN AND
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM, WITH THE DEVELOPMENT AND 
TRACK OF A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW THE MAIN DRIVER OF THIS. MODELS
ARE SHOWING ANYTHING BETWEEN AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN TO ALL SNOW, 
SO AT THIS POINT IN TIME WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TRENDS 
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR A BETTER PICTURE OF THE IMPACTS.

ONE FACTOR WITH THE STORM LATE NEXT WEEK IS THAT ASTRONOMICAL 
WILL BE AT THEIR PEAK FOR THE MONTH, WITH ANY KIND OF ONSHORE 
FLOW LIKELY LEADING TO IMPACTS. THESE IMPACTS WILL ALSO BE 
DETERMINED BY THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE SYSTEM. 

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...

SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO AVIATION INTERESTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
THROUGH THE NEXT DAY OR SO, LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY AND MUCH OF 
SATURDAY AS A WINTER STORM PASSES JUST OFFSHORE. BROKEN DOWN BY 
ASPECT...

CEILINGS...MVFR CIGS ARE ALREADY FILLING IN THIS AFTERNOON IN 
NORTHEAST FLOW. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT WITH 
CIGS LOWERING TO IFR IN SOUTHERN ZONES BY AROUND DAYBREAK...PERHAPS 
A BIT SOONER WITH AT KPWM, AND PERHAPS FOR A BRIEF TIME AT KMHT/KCON 
AS LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOP. IFR CIGS ARE FORECAST TO HOLD OFF UNTIL 
THE MID-MORNING HOURS FURTHER NORTH INTO KAUG, MEANWHILE OVER AT 
KHIE MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY BLOCK LOWER CEILINGS FROM FILLING IN 
UNTIL STEADIER PRECIPITATION ARRIVES... WITH MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING BY 
MID-MORNING, AND IFR HOLDING OFF UNTIL WINDS TURN NORTHERLY ON 
SATURDAY. IFR CIGS, AT TIMES LIFR IN HEAVIER PRECIPITATION, PREVAILS 
INTO SATURDAY WITH MODEST IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR FOR SOUTHERN INTERIOR 
TERMINALS BY THE END OF THE DAY, VFR FOR MOST PLACES BY SUNDAY 
MORNING... THOUGH THERE IS MORE DISAGREEMENT HEADING EAST WITH HOW 
QUICKLY CONDITIONS WILL CLEAR WITH THIS SLOW MOVING SYSTEM. KHIE 
MEANWHILE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LOW CEILINGS AS FLOW 
TRANSITIONS TO THE UPSLOPE VARIETY INTO SATURDAY. 

PRECIPITATION/VSBY...THE RAIN/SNOW LINE CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST 
CHALLENGING PORTION OF THE FORECAST, ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF 
OUR BUSIER TERMINALS ALONG THE COAST AND IN THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR. 
BEFORE THE PRIMARY SWATH OF STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION MOVES IN... A 
FEW PRECEDING LIGHT SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP AND PROVIDE BRIEF VSBY 
RESTRICTIONS, MOSTLY FROM SN WHERE IFR IS MORE LIKELY AT KPWM/KCON 
VERSUS VFR/MVFR IN RA AT KMHT/KPSM AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. STEADIER 
SN/RA ARRIVES IN THE FEW HOURS SURROUNDING DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY WITH 
IFR SN FOR ALL SITES EXCEPT FOR RA AT KMHT/KPSM. KMHT AND KPWM 
EXHIBIT THE HIGHEST DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY WRT PRECIP TYPE THROUGH 
THE PERIOD... WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST DEPICTING A CHANGE TO RAIN 
AT KPWM BY AROUND NOON AND RIDING THE RA/SN LINE UNTIL SATURDAY 
MORNING WHEN SN IS EXPECTED. KMHT SEES THE TRANSITION FROM RA TO SN 
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY. MAINLY LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED 
THROUGH SATURDAY, TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY... 
BUT HANGING ON FURTHER EAST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. 

WINDS/LLWS... LIGHT ENERLY WINDS TODAY WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH 
TOMORROW, THEN TURN NORTHERLY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... AND 
EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTERLY LATE SATURDAY AND OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE PGF 
ALONE WILL MAKE FOR STEADY WINDS BETWEEN 10-20 KTS FOR MOST 
PLACES... STRONGEST AT THE COAST... WIND GUSTS WILL BE FAIRLY 
LIMITED OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR, WHERE PROLONGED EASTERLY LLWS IS 
MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR, STARTING BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAWN FOR 
KMHT/KCON/KLEB/KHIE, AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT 
BEFORE THE LLJ RESPONSIBLE STARTS TO PULL AWAY TO THE EAST. AT THE 
COAST... WIND GUSTS 35-40 KTS WILL CENTER ON THE FRI AFTN AND 
EVENING PERIOD, WITH A MORE BRIEF PERIOD OF LLWS AS THE CORE OF THE 
LLJ COMES OVERHEAD. WIND GUSTS WILL VERY GRADUALLY DIMINISH FRIDAY 
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, FROM EAST-TO-WEST, FALLING BELOW 20 KTS OVER 
NH DURING THE DAY AND THEN OVER ME BY THE EVENING.

LONG TERM...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY BRINGS CONTINUED RESTRICTIONS 
THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN TERMINALS, 
WITH MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. CONDITIONS GRADUALLY
IMPROVE SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH MAINLY VFR TO MVFR AT TIMES ON 
MONDAY. HIE IS LIKELY TO SEE MORE MVFR CONDITIONS MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY, ALONG WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS ARE 
POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN TERMINALS, WITH IMPROVING 
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. RAIN OR SNOW IS THEN 
LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WHILE A FEW GUSTS TO STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE OUTER WATERS...CONFIDENCE IN THEIR LONGEVITY AND LOCATION IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT A STORM WARNING. THEREFORE...HAVE
TRANSITIONED TO GALES EVERYWHERE FOR THE UPCOMING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE ON SATURDAY
WITH WINDS SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY AND SLOWLY SUBSIDING SATURDAY
NIGHT.  

LONG TERM...SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY 
WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND RESIDUAL ELEVATED SEAS, AND THEN 
GRADUALLY LOWER ON TUESDAY AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW EASES. HIGH 
PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST 
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>022-033.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST 
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR MEZ024>028.
NH...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST 
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR NHZ001-002-004.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR 
     NHZ003-005>009-011-015.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY 
     FOR NHZ010-012-013.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR 
     ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...ARNOTT
SHORT TERM...ARNOTT
LONG TERM...CLAIR
AVIATION...CASEY/CLAIR
MARINE...ARNOTT/CLAIR